ky3 says a First Warn is in place for rain and storms this evening, with spotty to scattered waves expected to continue through the rest of Sunday. Southeastern counties also face a low 1/5 severe risk and a Flood Watch until Monday, while the bulk of storm activity should end after 10 pm.
Sunday night storms
The main concern this evening is gusty wind if any storm turns strong to severe. An isolated tornado cannot be ruled out in the southeastern counties, and flooding and water over roadways are possible in the same areas. That combination comes after a stretch of heavy rain in the area, leaving roads and low-lying spots vulnerable during the late-evening storms.
Monday starts with an isolated 20% chance for rain and temperatures in the upper 60s. By afternoon, highs are expected around 85 degrees, but muggy air could make it feel like the low 90s. A few pop-up showers and storms are possible from 1 pm to 5 pm.
Monday night system
Another system is expected to drop in from the northwest Monday night, bringing a cluster of rain and storms after midnight and into early Tuesday morning. A low severe risk is in place for the southwestern counties Monday night, with strong winds and hail the primary threats and a 50% chance of rain and storms.
Tuesday brings the bigger heat risk. The day is expected to stay dry, hot, and sunny, with highs around 91 degrees and heat index values near 104/105 degrees. Wednesday stays hot too, with another high near 91 degrees and heat index values between 104 and 105 degrees.
Tuesday through Thursday
Wednesday also carries a 30% chance for rain and storms in the afternoon, and Thursday brings a 40% chance of rain and storm activity later in the day. Highs Thursday are expected in the upper 80s, with it feeling like the low to mid 90s. By the end of the week, a series of cold fronts should trim temperatures into the low to mid 80s and bring more comfortable humidity values.
That easing trend comes after the first wave of intense heat of the year and just as Fan Fest is kicking off on Thursday. For anyone in the affected counties, the immediate move is to plan around possible late-day storms through Wednesday, then prepare for dangerous heat Tuesday and Wednesday before conditions begin to cool late in the week.
